If you enjoy the fall flavors of apples — not just in autumn, but anytime — USDA research economist Katherine Weber notes this year’s projected U.S. apple production.

“The 2025 U.S. apple crop is forecast at 11.5 billion pounds, according to the August USDA mass crop production report. The 2025 apple crop marks the third season in the last decade that annual production exceeded 11 billion pounds, based on seven mass-surveyed states.”

If those forecasts hold up, apple production will be up 6% year over year, but similar to production numbers from 2023.

“In Washington, the largest apple-producing state, the crop is forecast to be 8 billion pounds — 7% higher, or 520 million pounds more than last year. If realized, the 2025 apple crop would be the largest in Washington history.”

The majority of the Evergreen State’s apple crop — 80% — goes to the fresh market.

“This fresh market share is higher than the next three apple-producing states: New York, Michigan and Pennsylvania, which each had a fresh market share closer to 50% over the last five seasons.”

A look at production forecasts in other apple-growing states includes:

“In New York, 2025 apple production is forecast to increase 12% year over year, ranking second in apple production behind Washington, with 1.45 billion pounds. If realized, New York’s apple crop will be the largest since 2022. Pennsylvania is forecast to produce 430 million pounds of apples in 2025, which represents 4% of U.S. production. This year’s forecast is similar to last year, and overall fruit quality is reported as high. Virginia and Oregon are each forecast to produce 165 million pounds of apples this year. The 2025 apple crop in Oregon is up 38% year over year and is the largest crop since 2020.”

Regarding the 2025 apple production forecast by variety:

“The U.S. Apple Association expects a record-size Honeycrisp crop in 2025–26. If realized, Honeycrisp would rank third in apple varieties by volume for the first time — surpassing Granny Smith — but continuing to trail behind Gala and Red Delicious.”

Also of note: a rise in fresh apple exports.

“Fresh apple exports are higher, [while] imports are lower. In the last two seasons, in marketing year 2024–25, the United States exported approximately 25% of its fresh-market apple production volume — the same share as last season. U.S. fresh apple exports in marketing year 2024–25 totaled 1.85 billion pounds by volume and 1 billion pounds by value. In 2024–25, the fresh apple export volume was 129 million pounds lower than last season, but 19% higher than the previous three-year average.”